O’Reilly Auto Parts 300 at Texas Motor Speedway NASCAR Xfinity Series Fantasy Projections

Daniel Hemric – 2nd place in points and he survived a wild Kansas race that no one expected. He would have locked himself into the championship 4 if he would have out dueled John Hunter Nemechek in Kansas two weeks ago but things did not play out. I like Hemric this weekend, based on the momentum he has 4 consecutive top 10 finishes, his hardest competition is right above and below the cut-line, I think he will be swinging for the fences to ensure he is pulling into victory lane this Saturday.

 

Christopher Bell – Caught up in the lap 1 accident at Kansas, Bell finds himself 1 point to the good in the championship race. He has been the car to beat the 3 previous races and he will again be tough to beat as he looks to build on the 2nd place finish he scored here earlier in the year. I like him again this weekend, he will be a solid play.

 

 

Elliott Sadler –In 5 previous starts at Texas, Elliott has a solid average finish of 7th place. Since he has started racing for JR Motorsports in 2016 he has not finished outside of the top 5 at Texas. Coming off a 3rd place run at Kansas and grabbing the points lead, suddenly the “old man” is in the driver seat as the series finds itself two races away from the championship finale. Use him this weekend and don’t think twice

 

 

Cole Custer – a never give up attitude found Cole finishing 26th two weeks ago at Kansas however, he is in a pretty much win or go home situation in the points standings. He has 3 starts at Texas and a average finish of inside the top 5. I am using him this weekend and you should too.

 

 

 

Matt Tifft – Tifft is still in the thick of the championship race which is surprising to some. He kind of reminds me of Kurt Busch, always there but no one talks about him. He finished 6th after starting 32nd earlier in the year here at Texas. Those kinds of points are what you need to take home the GPP contest victories. I think he will be of value this weekend and his lower price tag is also something to take in account.

 

USE CAUTION

Justin Allgaier – Not feeling it this weekend for Allgaier. His high price tag and his previous races at Texas are nothing to chomp at either. His previous 5 races his best finish is 6th place and an average finish of 15th. Better options this week, just them.

 

 

 

 

Tyler Reddick – Also staying away from Allgaier’s teammate this weekend in Tyler Reddick. He has 2 starts here and an average finish of 28th place, neither of which were DNF’s. Confidence in Reddick this week is very low for me.

 

 

 

VALUE PICKS

Austin Cindric – The 22 car won here earlier in the season but it had Ryan Blaney behind the wheel. I expect the #22 Team Penske team to bring the same setup and have a solid run Saturday. Austin is below the cut line and 43 points out, Brian Wilson will make sure to play some strategy late in the race to ensure Austin has a shot at winning to advance to the championship 4.

 

Spencer Gallagher – 3 races here previously for Spencer and he has a average finish of 13th, his previous race here he scored a top 10 and stage points in 2 of the 3 stages. His price tag is low and upside is high.

 

 

 

Ryan Truex – Ryan has been really quiet this season after making a large splash in the truck series. He is not a very good qualifier and I like his chances this weekend to start mid-pack and finish inside the top 10.

 

 

 


 

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