Kevin Harvick – Fords are fast and this one seems to be best in class. In the previous 5 races at Texas, Harvick has a average finish of 4.6 and 1 win. He was dominant at Kansas the last 1.5 mile track that the series went to and I expect the same this weekend.
Kyle Busch – 5 starts and 2 wins in the previous 5 races at Texas, KB is a force to be reckoned with coming into Texas. He has a strong case to make this weekend as the Fords seems to be dominant. Starting 10th, expect him to be battling for a win at the end of the day on Sunday.
Joey Logano – He leads all active drivers in average finish of the previous 5 races at Texas with a 4.2 average finish and he is riding a huge wave of momentum. Joey locked himself into the championship round and would like nothing better than to get a win this weekend to keep any other drivers from punching their ticket also.
Chase Elliott – starting in the 16th spot this weekend this will be a solid DFS start this weekend because you know he wont finish there. In the 5 previous races here, he holds an average finish of 7th and he won at Kansas another 1.5 mile track I wouldn’t expect him to stay outside the top 10 for long.
Kurt Busch – “The Silent Killer” is what ill call him. 4 top 10’s in the last 5 races at Texas and what seems to be a dark horse this weekend. Kurt will look to sneak up and clinch his spot into the championship 4. A lot of drivers are talking about Kurt and how good he is at Texas, which seems to be underrated based on how little we hear about it. I like him this weekend.
Martin Truex Jr – Starting 13th Truex has admitted they never qualify good here since the reconfiguration, but the results speak for themselves. Leading 22% of the laps among active drivers in the previous 5 races at Texas, he will not be outside the top 10 for long come Sunday. Average finish of 11.2 and 4 out of 5 resulted in top 10’s. He will be a bull in a china shop this week after the dramatic finish last week. Don’t be surprised if Martin is in contention for the win Sunday.
Ryan Blaney – He’s fast at Texas, and the pole speaks for itself. I like him here; the fords are cream of the crop it seems, and he will be in contention for a top 5. He finished 5th at this race in the beginning of the year.
BEWARE AND USE CAUTION
Kyle Larson – Winless this year and a 36th place finish here in the spring, Larson is a guy I just have to avoid this weekend. His price is still way to high for the value you get in return. He seems to have fallen off a bit and only has scored 1 top 10 finish in the previous 5 playoff races.
UNDERDOGS / DARK HORSE /SLEEPERS
Denny Hamlin – He seems to be the fastest Toyota this weekend. As soon as his bid for the playoffs came to an end, Denny seemed to have showed up with the win or go home attitude. He led laps last weekend and challenged Kyle Busch for the lead multiple times and I can see Hamlin having a solid run again this weekend.
Austin Dillon – Failing to make it past the first round of qualifying, Dillon admitted his RCR team was trying something new in advance for next season. He will not finish there and has a solid chance at finishing inside the top 12.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr – For the price you will pay for Ricky and driving the Fastenal Ford, he has a great chance at a top 10 finish. He may surprise some come Sunday.