Its Bristol Baby! We are ready to go racing today for 500 laps around the worlds fastest half mile. Quite a few different things to cover and watch for today, one being most important is dominator points. At Martinsville earlier this year Brad Keselowski absolutely dominated and led 446 laps which made him a must own if you had any chance at taking home a GPP tournament. We wont see that many laps led today by one driver, so getting the 2 or 3 dominators correct are going to be important. Also, if you are playing on FanDuel keep in mind the laps completed points, taking a lower salary driver may not be very beneficial today if the are going to end the race 50 or so laps down. Based on the pace that was set in the Xfinity race yesterday we could see up to the top 15 or so lapped very easily today if they get a longer green flag run. Another factor is the traction compound, it has been laid down again over night, this time its 2 foot shorter on the bottom lane. The start of today’s race is going to be on a green race track. Yesterday’s practice session was not, so I am not sure I would dive too deep into the practice speeds. Keep it simple today, fast cars are always fast, and the cream will rise to the top. Let’s break down some picks.
Kyle Busch – I don’t think you can go wrong here; Kyle knows this track very well and has the stats to back it up. He hasn’t been strong in the Skittles Camry on the speed charts, but you know he will be up front battling for the lead like he always is here at Bristol. In his previous 4 starts here at Bristol he has 2 wins and over 273 laps led. It will require some work and patience today by Kyle to get to the front cleanly, but you can count on him being there at the end.
Joey Logano – Another solid play at Bristol that knows how to get it done here, I have no problem with rolling with Joey today. He may go slightly lower owned based on people going towards Kevin Harvick, so this play is even more intriguing. The Penske cars have been awesome to start the season and I don’t see that changing today. His previous 4 races at Bristol give him an average finish of 7.75 with 168 laps led.
Kyle Larson – This will probably be the chalkiest play of the day but if Kyle can put the full race together and stay out of trouble, he will need to be one of your must own drivers. He is way under priced this week on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and the value he can provide will be second to none. This is one of his better tracks and we know he will be one of the first to get to the top groove and start working it in. I like this play today.
Ryan Blaney – Blaney is right on the verge of taking home the checkered flag and grabbing his first win of the season. I rode him last week and I will do it again this week. In the 2 races last year, he led over 100 laps in each race and I believe he as the potential to do it again today. For his price tag on both sites, I will be ok with being over on him today.
Denny Hamlin – Can Hamlin go back to back? He has a really good shot at it today. Him and crew chief Chris Gabehart have started to hit their stride. I think we can see Hamlin get up front early and lead some laps and take advantage of his 6th straight top 10 starting spot. He is also seemingly underpriced on DraftKings this week. Ride the hot hand!
Ricky Stenhouse Jr – Ricky has only scored one top 10 finish so far this season and his aggressiveness this season has made a lot of waves inside the garage. This week statistically Bristol is his 2nd best track. In his 12 career cup series starts he has 6 top 10 finishes and has two 2nd place finishes. With the unknowns of the track today, we know Ricky will be up on the top side making moves trying to get to the front. Today I believe he scores another top 10 and don’t be surprised if he ends up inside the top 5.
Austin Dillon – RCR cars have showed a lot of single car speed this season and haven’t been able to string much together come time to race. I am going out on a limb here today with this pick, I have a feeling Austin will be getting his 2nd top 10 of the season and maybe flirting with the top 5. He will rely heavily on crew chief Danny Stockman who will be calling his first Cup series race at Bristol but has a Xfinity series resume at Bristol that is second to none. I like Austin as a GPP dart throw today.
Matt DiBenedetto – Bristol is Matt’s favorite track and what put him on the map with his 6th place finish in 2016. He has shown a lot of speed this weekend at the half mile and the 21st starting position has attractive position differential points for the race. I like the play; he will probably go high owned but if he can break through with his first top 10 of the season he will provide solid value.
All images are courtesy of MRN.com and Getty Images.
As always please be sure to check out our free lineup tool just click on the button below for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup creation!